Forecasts, graded in public
Track record
We keep each forecast exactly as we first published it. When a release ships, we grade the forecast here. Misses stay on the record.
Forecasts published
6
Graded so far
1
Window passed, no release
0
This site is new, so only a few forecasts have been graded. We will not show an accuracy score until there are enough results to mean something.
All forecasts
| Release | Our forecast | Chance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fedora 45 | Nov 3-17, 2026 | 70% | Released Nov 3, 2026: inside window |
| Fedora 46 | Apr 15, 2027 to May 15, 2027 | 70% | Waiting |
| Debian 14 "forky" | Jun 1, 2027 to Sep 30, 2027 | 50% | Waiting |
| Linux Mint 27 "Adrien" | Dec 20, 2026 to Jan 31, 2027 | 50% | Waiting |
| Linux kernel 7.4 | Dec 20-27, 2026 | 80% | Waiting |
| Linux kernel 7.5 | Feb 21, 2027 to Mar 7, 2027 | 55% | Waiting |